Alaska Real Estate is in a Stong Seller's Market

Alaska Real Estate is in a Strong Seller's Market.

The supply and demand ratio has tipped in the odds of the seller.  If you are curious what your home value is PLEASE CLICK HERE FOR MORE INFORMATION

Future House Values? Simple as Supply and Demand
For some time now, we have attempted to shed light on the fact that pricing in today’s real estate market, as it is in the markets for every other saleable item, will be determined by the concept of ‘supply and demand’.

According to dictionary.com:

“The relationship between supply and demand determines the price of a commodity. This relationship is thought to be the driving force in a free market.”

In real estate, supply and demand is represented as the current month’s supply of homes for sale (the number of homes for sale divided by the number of homes sold in the previous month).

While there is no steadfast rule that will apply to pricing in every category of housing, here is a great guideline:

• 1-4 months supply creates a sellers’ market where there are not enough homes to satisfy buyer demand. Appreciation is guaranteed.
• 5-6 months supply creates a balanced market. Historically home values appreciate at a rate a little greater than inflation.
• 7-8 months supply creates a buyers’ market where the number of homes for sale exceeds the demand. Depreciation follows.

What is happening across the country right now?

In most parts of the country, home values are rising. This is for two reasons:

1. According to NAR’s latest Existing Homes Sales Report, raw unsold inventory is at the lowest level since December 1999 when there were 1.71 million homes on the market.
2. According to this month’s Pending Sales Report from NAR, houses going into contract reached levels last seen in April 2010 which was the month the Home Buyers' Tax Credit expired.

This has resulted in a 4.2-month supply at the current sales pace which is the lowest housing supply since April 2005 when it was also 4.2 months.

Based on the table above, we can see that the supply/demand ratio is leaning toward a sellers’ market where prices will appreciate. That has created positive movement in housing values in most parts of the country.

DO YOU KNOW WHAT THE COST OF WAITING WITH PRICES ON MAT-SU VALLEY HOMES AND RATES ON THE RISE?

Do you know what the cost of waiting with prices on Mat-Su Valley Homes and Rates on the rise?

We, at Alaska Home Sellers, have often broken down the opportunity that exists now for Millennials who are willing and able to purchase a home NOW... Here are a couple other ways to look at the cost of waiting.
Let’s say you're 30 and your dream house costs $250,000 today, at 4.41% your monthly Mortgage Payment with Interest would be $1,253.38.
But you’re busy, you like your apartment, moving is such a hassle...You decide to wait till the end of next year to buy and all of a sudden, you’re 31, that same house is $270,000, at 5.7%. Your new payment per month is $1,567.08.

The difference in payment is $313.70 PER MONTH!

That’s like taking a $10 bill and tossing it out the window EVERY DAY!
Or you could look at it this way:

• That’s your morning coffee everyday on the way to work (Average $2) with $12 left for lunch!
• There goes Friday Sushi Night! ($80 x 4)
• Stressed Out? How about 3 deep tissue massages with tip!
• Need a new car? You could get a brand new $22,000 car for $313.00 per month.

Let’s look at that number annually! Over the course of your new mortgage at 5.7%, your annual additional cost would be $3,764.40!
Had your eye on a vacation in the Caribbean? How about a 2-week trip through Europe? Or maybe your new house could really use a deck for entertaining.  We could come up with 100’s of ways to spend $3,764, and we’re sure you could too!
Over the course of your 30 year loan, now at age 61, hopefully you are ready to retire soon, you would have spent an additional $112,932, all because when you were 30 you thought moving in 2014 was such a hassle or loved your apartment too much to leave yet.
Or maybe there wasn’t an agent out there who educated you on the true cost of waiting a year. Maybe they thought you wouldn’t be ready, but if they showed you that you could save $112,932, you’d at least listen to what they had to say.
They say hindsight is 20/20, we’d like to think that 30 years from now when you are 60, looking back, you would say to buy now…
Agents: How are you preparing to help Millennials understand the opportunity available TODAY by become homeowners? Watch a free replay of our most recent webinar, "Spring Ahead in 2014: KCM's Action Plan for DOMINATING the Spring Buyers' Season" to find out the steps you need to take!

Should I wait to sell my house?

Should I wait to sell my house?

Should I wait to sell my house is a common question that many Alaska home sellers may ask.

Many sellers are still hesitant about putting their house up for sale. Where are prices headed? Where are interest rates headed? These are all valid questions. However, there are several reasons to sell your home sooner rather than later. Here are three of those reasons.

If you are interested in selling your home CLICK HERE

1. Demand is about to skyrocket

Most people realize that the housing market is hottest from April through June. The most serious buyers are well aware of this and, for that reason, come out in early spring in order to beat the heavy competition. We also have a pent-up demand as many buyers pushed off their home search this winter because of extreme weather. Sellers in markets where seasonal weather is never an issue must realize that buyers relocating to their region will increase dramatically this spring as these purchasers finally decide to escape the freezing temperatures of the winters in the north.

These buyers are ready, willing and able to buy…and are in the market right now!

2. There Is Less Competition - For Now

Housing supply always grows from the spring through the early summer. Also, there has been a growing desire for many homeowners to move as they were unable to sell over the last few years because of a negative equity situation. Homeowners have seen a return to positive equity as prices increased over the last eighteen months. Many of these homes will be coming to the market in the near future.

The choices buyers have will continue to increase over the next few months. Don’t wait until all the other potential sellers in your market put their homes up for sale.

3. There Will Never Be a Better Time to Move-Up

If you are moving up to a larger, more expensive home, consider doing it now. Prices are projected to appreciate by approximately 4% this year and 8% by the end of 2015. If you are moving to a higher priced home, it will wind-up costing you more in raw dollars (both in down payment and mortgage payment) if you wait. You can also lock-in your 30 year housing expense with an interest rate at about 4.5% right now. Freddie Mac projects rates to be 5.1% by this time next year and 5.7% by the fourth quarter of 2015.

Moving up to a new home will be less expensive this spring than later this year or next year.

For a look at the Palmer and Wasilla, Alaska real estate trends CLICK HERE

Homes for sale in Mountain Ranch Subdivision, Wasilla, AK

Homes for Sale in Mountain Ranch Subdivision Wasilla, Alaska

Looking for a home in Mountain Ranch Subdivision?

If you are interested in finding a home for sale in Mountain Ranch Subdivision of Wasilla, AK please click on the link for immediate information about homes for sale.  If you would like to know a bit more about the neighborhood I have included a few facts and links that may be helpful for you. 

Why Do People Live in Mountain Ranch?

Mountain Ranch is a large neighborhood of single family homes. Situated outside the between the cities of Palmer, AK and located within a short distance of the Glenn Highway. The fair is close but not to close. This is very convenient when it is State fair time.

What's the Neighborhood Like?

The homes you would expect to find for sale in Mountain Ranch Subdivision are generally going to range between 864 and 3333 square feet. Most of the homes were built starting 2005 to 2014.  The typical configuration is mainly 2 to 5 bedrooms and 1 to 3 baths. The lots are approximately a little less than 1/2 acre.

What's Going on Nearby the Mountain Ranch Subdivision?

Mountain Ranch is conveniently located just off the Parks Highway between Palmer and Wailla, Alaska and it is an excellent commute location to Anchorage and JBER.  Mat-Su Regional Medical Center is close by as well as big box discount shopping areas, most chain fast food establishments, as well as the local movie theater within 10 minutes. In addition we have a wonderful collection of local favorite restaurants, including Locals.  Find out about The Ranch and the surrounding area's community information including banks, schools, shopping and what the community statistics are at my web page.

What Schools are nearby?

If you buy a home for sale in Mountain Ranch Subdivision of Wasilla AK, the local schools serving this area are Sherrod/Swanson Elementary School as well as Palmer Middle and High School. To get local school scores and more information about these schools check out the Palmer school reports on my website.
Because the area is in a growth phase sometimes school boundaries change, so you will need to reconfirm this.

Now You Really Want to Find a Home Here, Right?

If you are interested in the current homes and lots for sale in Mountain Ranch Subdivision of Palmer AK click on the link. Our 'for sale' property information is a direct feed from the Alaska MLS and is updated multiple times per day.

To Search for Homes in the Palmer, Wasilla, Houston and other areas please visit my site.

Homes for Sale in Midtown Estates

Homes for Sale in Midtown Estates Palmer, Alaska

Looking for a home in Midtown Estates?

If you are interested in finding a home for sale in the Midtown Estates of Palmer, AK please click on the link for immediate information about homes for sale.  If you would like to know a bit more about the neighborhood I have included a few facts and links that may be helpful for you. 

Why Do People Live in Midtown Estates?

Midtown Estates is a small  neighborhood of single family homes. The area is nicely wooded. Situated between the cities of Palmer, AK and Wasilla, AK off the Palmer-Wasilla  Highway.

What's the Neighborhood Like?

The homes you would expect to find for sale in the Midtown Estates Subdivision are generally going to range between 1700 and 3500 square feet. Most of the homes were originally built starting 1986 to 2006.  The typical configuration is mainly 3 to 4 bedrooms and 2 1/2 to 3 1/2 baths. Most of the lots are approximately 1/2 acre large.

What's Going on Nearby the Midtown Estates Subdivision?

Midtown Estates is conveniently located just off the Palmer Wasilla Highway between Wasilla and Palmer and is an excellent commute location to Anchorage and JBER.  Mat-Su Regional Medical Center is close by as well as big box discount shopping areas, most chain fast food establishments, as well as the local movie theater within 15 minutes. In addition we have a wonderful collection of local favorite restaurants, including Locals, Turkey Red, Pioneer Pizza and the Noisy Goose.  Downtown Palmer offers a variety of gift and specialty stores and caters to the local market with the Mat-Su Farm Market year round.  Colony Days and Colony Christmas as well as Friday Flings in Palmer which is another Farmers Market style of event are all well attended events.  Find out about Midtown Estates and the surrounding area's community information including banks, schools, shopping and what the community statistics are at my web page.

What Schools are nearby?

If you buy a home for sale in the Midtown Estates Subdivision of Palmer AK, the local schools serving this area are Pioneer Peak Elementary Schools as well as Colony Middle and High School. To get local school scores and more information about these schools check out the Palmer school reports on my website.
Because the area is in a growth phase sometimes school boundaries change, so you will need to reconfirm this.

Now You Really Want to Find a Home Here, Right?

If you are interested in the current homes and lots for sale in Midtown Estates Subdivision of Palmer AK click on the link. Our 'for sale' property information is a direct feed from the Alaska MLS and is updated multiple times per day.

To Search for Homes in the Palmer, Wasilla, Houston and other areas please visit my site.

Homes for Sale in Wasilla Creek Commons Palmer Alaska

Homes for Sale in Wasilla Creek Commons Palmer, Alaska

Looking for a home in Wasilla Creek Commons?

If you are interested in finding a home for sale in the Wasilla Creek Commons of Palmer, AK please click on the link for immediate information about homes for sale.  If you would like to know a bit more about the neighborhood I have included a few facts and links that may be helpful for you. 

Why Do People Live in Wasilla Creek Commons?

Wasilla Creek Commons is a small  neighborhood of single family homes and there are still plenty of lots available for those that wish to build. Situated between the cities of Palmer, AK and Wasilla, AK off the Palmer-Wasilla  and Parks Highway.  As the name implies, Wasilla Creek runs on the outer edge of the development.  In the summer Salmon can be found running the creek and it provides endless hours of entertainment for local kids.

What's the Neighborhood Like?

The homes you would expect to find for sale in the Wasilla Creek Commons Subdivision are generally going to range between 1700 and 2800 square feet. Most of the homes were originally built starting 2008 to present.  The typical configuration is mainly 3 to 4 bedrooms and 2 to 3 baths. Most of the lots range from just under 20,000 sq. ft. to 32,000 sq. ft. on average.

What's Going on Nearby the Wasilla Creek Commons Subdivision?

Wasilla Creek Commons is conveniently located just off the Trunk Road between the Parks Highway and the Palmer-Wasilla Highway and is an excellent commute location to Anchorage and JBER.  Mat-Su Regional Medical Center is close by as well as big box discount shopping areas, most chain fast food establishments, as well as the local movie theater within 15 minutes. In addition we have a wonderful collection of local favorite restaurants, including Locals, Turkey Red, Pioneer Pizza and the Noisy Goose.  Downtown Palmer offers a variety of gift and specialty stores and caters to the local market with the Mat-Su Farm Market year round.  Colony Days and Colony Christmas as well as Friday Flings in Palmer which is another Farmers Market style of event are all well attended events.  Find out about Meadow Brook and the surrounding area's community information including banks, schools, shopping and what the community statistics are at my web page.

What Schools are nearby?

If you buy a home for sale in the Wasilla Creek Commons Subdivision of Palmer AK, the local schools serving this area are Pioneer Peak Elementary Schools as well as Colony Middle and High School. To get local school scores and more information about these schools check out the Palmer school reports on my website.
Because the area is in a growth phase sometimes school boundaries change, so you will need to reconfirm this.

Now You Really Want to Find a Home Here, Right?

If you are interested in the current homes and lots for sale in Wasilla Creek Commons Subdivision of Palmer AK click on the link. Our 'for sale' property information is a direct feed from the Alaska MLS and is updated multiple times per day.

To Search for Homes in the Palmer, Wasilla, Houston and other areas please visit my site.

Meadow Brook Subdivision Palmer Alaska

Meadow Brook Subdivision - Palmer, AK

Looking for a home in Meadow Brook Subdivision?

If you are interested in finding a home for sale in the Meadow Brook Subdivision of Palmer, AK please click on the link for immediate information about homes for sale.  If you would like to know a bit more about the neighborhood I have included a few facts and links that may be helpful for you. 

Why Do People Live in Meadow Brook?

Meadow Brook is a beautiful neighborhood of single family homes that are conveniently situated between the cities of Palmer, AK and Wasilla, AK. It's not uncommon to see neighborhood kids playing in the streets during the summer and sledding down snow covered streets in the winter. The neighborhood is active year round with people walking their dogs or getting out for an evening run.

What's the Neighborhood Like?

The homes you would expect to find for sale in the Meadow Brook Subdivision are generally going to range between 1700 and 2700 square feet. Most of the homes were originally built by Jess Hall Homes back in the early 2000's.  The smallest homes in the neighborhood start with 2 bedrooms while the larger floor plans have a four bedroom layout and there is even one with seven bedrooms.  Most of the lots range from over 1/3 acre to 3/4 of an acre. When looking on a Google map or using an electronic devise this area is often referred to as Gateway.

What's Going on Nearby the Meadow Brook Subdivision?

Meadow Brook is conveniently located just off the Parks Highway and is an Excellent commute location to Anchorage and JBER.  Mat-Su Regional Medical Center is close by as well as big box discount shopping areas, most chain fast food establishments, as well as the local movie theater within 10 minutes. In addition we have a wonderful collection of local favorite restaurants, including Locals, Turkey Red, Pioneer Pizza and the Noisy Goose.  Downtown Palmer offers a variety of gift and specialty stores and caters to the local market with the Mat-Su Farm Market year round.  Colony Day's festival in the Summer and Colony Christmas as well as Friday Flings in Palmer which is another Farmers Market style of event are all well attended events.  Find out about Meadow Brook and the surrounding area's community information including banks, schools, shopping and what the community statistics are at my web page.

What Schools will the Kids Attend?

If you buy a home for sale in the Meadow Brook Subdivision of Palmer AK, the local schools serving this area are Pioneer Peak Elementary School & Fred and Sarah Machetanz Elementary, Colony Middle School, and Colony High School. To get local school scores and more information about these schools check out the Palmer school reports on my website.

Now You Really Want to Find a Home Here, Right?

If you are interested in the current homes for sale in Meadow Brook Subdivision of Palmer AK click on the link. Our 'for sale' property information is a direct feed from the Alaska MLS and is updated multiple times per day.

To Search for Homes in the Palmer, Wasilla, Houston and other areas please visit my site.

What's Better on St. Patrick's Day Than Corned Beef and Cabbage?

What's Better on St. Patrick's Day Than Corned Beef and Cabbage?  Corned Moose and Cabbage!

With today being St. Patrick's Day, we thought we would share the recipe that we use to make corned venison, moose, bear, etc.  It is truly one of the highlights of St. Patrick's Day every year for our family.

Here is the recipe for making corned venison. If you don't have venison, any "lean" cut of beef will also work. BTW Moose and bear is fantastic!!  If you like Reuben Sandwiches...it makes the best you'll have ever had.  We have friends that don't eat wild game, but can't stay out of this when we make it.

If your cut is thicker than 1 inch, use an injector to get the brine into it, or simply cut it down so that it will completely penetrate the cut. When I do mine, I have done upwards of 12 pounds with this much brine. But rather than placing it a bowl, I place it in a 2 gallon Ziploc freezer bag, and then squeeze the air out of it to completely submerge the meat. Every couple of days, open the bag, move the pieces around and then squeeze the air out of it again and put it back in the refrigerator.

Corned Venison

2 to 3-pound brisket, flank, or shoulder roast up to 1 inch thick
2 quarts spring water or distilled water
1/2 cup canning/pickling salt
1/2 cup tenderizing salt (e.g. Morton's Tenderquick®)
3 tablespoons brown sugar
2 tablespoons mixed pickling spice
2 bay leaves
10 whole black peppercorns
1 or 2 cloves garlic, minced

Place cuts in a large glass or pottery mixing bowl (I use the 2 gallon Ziploc bags). In a stainless kettle, glass or enamel saucepan, combine remaining ingredients. Heat just to boiling. Remove from heat, cover and allow to cool. Pour cooled brine over meat. Cover bowl with plastic wrap; or if using Ziploc bags, squeeze to remove air, then seal. Refrigerate 7 to 10 days, (the last batch I did was almost 14 days) turning meat occasionally. Drain. Rinse meat thoroughly with cold water. If you are not going to eat it all at once, take a normal portion size that you would cook and place that in a quart size or gallon size Ziploc. Add some of the brine, squeeze the air out and then place it in the freezer. That way you have more ready to go for next time. The brine makes enough meat for several meals, but believe me you will go through it faster than you think. The recipe that we first found called for preparing it the following way. To prepare corned meat, place in Dutch oven. Cover with cold water. Heat to boiling, then drain. Cover with cold water again. Heat to boiling. Reduce heat; cover and simmer until tender, 3 1/2 to 4 1/2 hours. We have found that just putting it in a Crockpot with beef broth for about 8 hours is the best! And the easiest..... Enjoy!

5 TIPS FOR COLD WEATHER SAFETY

With a few more months of winter remaining, here are 5 tips for cold weather safety.  As a volunteer instructor for the Alaska Department of Fish and Game's Hunter Information and Training (HIT) program, these are some of the concepts that we present to our students.  You can learn more about the different courses at the following link Alaska Fish and Game Hunter Information and Training. 

One of the benefits to volunteering as an instructor for Alaska's HIT program, is receiving training concepts and materials that our national organization will occasionally send out that we can utilize during our course training sessions.  This is a very good article about cold weather preparation while hunting, but as I was reading it, felt that it would be a good resource for anyone that spends time outdoors.  Here is a link to the story 5 Tips for Cold Water Hunter Safety.  While we are rapidly approaching spring, it is often during times like this that we are least prepared...running out the door without a jacket because it's a beautiful day, going for a hike without bringing a pack with a few essentials in the event that the weather changes, etc. etc.  Often during the middle of winter we are prepared for an emergency.  Extra gear in the back of the car/truck, coffee can with candles and various food items, shovels, etc. etc.  But what I refer to as the "fringe seasons", spring and fall, are the ones that most people run into trouble because they don't anticipate anything going wrong.

While our blog is primarily about Alaska Real Estate, it is Alaska after all, and it seemed like these were tips that everyone could stand to be reminded of.  Maybe the proper cleaning of your firearm and firearm safety doesn't necessarily apply to everyone, the rest of it certainly does.

And if it is too nasty to do anything outside, feel free to take a look at the homes that are for sale in Alaska on our website at Alaska Home Sellers.

Stay safe out there!
      

5 THINGS THAT YOU PROBABLY DON'T KNOW ABOUT VA LOANS

There are 5 things that you probably don't know about VA loans according to a blog post that I recently came across.  But I am going to add in a 6th because of it's importance...and with 10% of Alaskans being retired military, there are a lot of VA loans that are used to buy Mat-Su Valley real estate.  

This is a link to the blog post that I came across that very well summed up a couple of the myths regarding VA loans that many consumers have. 5 Things that you probably don't know about VA loans.  And while those 5 are quite valid, I think that there is a 6th thing that could apply here in Alaska as well with the high amount of disabled veterans.  And #6 could be one of the most important of all.  Did you know that if you have a service-connected disability of 10% or higher that you are exempt from paying the VA funding fee?

If you are an active member of the military or are a retired member of the military and are contemplating buying real estate in the Mat-Su Valley of Alaska, we work with competent lenders that can review your present financial position to analyze what loan program would work best for you.  

VA Flow Chart from Hawaii VA Loans

You can always visit our website to obtain an enormous amount of information on Alaska real estate.  You can shop for current homes for sale here or if you are curious as to what the value of your home is in today's rapidly heating market , you can fill out this short form to obtain an approximate idea from us.

We at Alaska Home Sellers feel that there is something BIG about to happen this year here in Alaska real estate!  We featured a post about it yesterday WILL 2014 PROVE TO BE THE YEAR OF GROWTH?.  

Stay tuned for further updates as this begins to unfold...

Greg



 

WILL 2014 PROVE TO BE THE YEAR OF GROWTH?

Will 2014 prove to be the year of growth?  We at Alaska Home Sellers absolutely believe it will be.  2013 proved to be the year of stabilization as investors purchased an enormous amount of the "low hanging fruit", including the thousands of foreclosures that were available.  They were compelled to enter the market and invest after they watched from the sidelines during much of 2012 to see if the bottom had indeed drawn near and the market would start to recover.  And when they jumped 'feet first' into the market over the last 12-18 months they substantially, and knowingly, reduced the remaining inventory (homes for sale) levels causing a rapid increase in values.  With real estate being a market like anything else, it is predicated on a "supply vs demand" principal.  The more demand there is for something, the price naturally increases on the remaining supply.  
 
In an ideal world, you would always like to buy at the bottom of a market and sell at the top...but all too often, when the consumer 'senses' the market has hit the bottom, it has already made it through the lowest point and has already started back up.  Conversely, when a seller 'senses' that the market is at it's peak and tries to time their sale, the market has often already started a downward trend.

The investors over the last 12-18 months have hedged their bets with a bit of 'insider trading' of sorts.  Knowing that the price of the housing would increase with a decreased supply, they purchased untold amounts of it with that knowledge.  In a way...they were hedging that bet by purchasing placing large volumes of real estate (in many cases entire blocks filled with empty housing) into their portfolios and renting them out knowing that their asset would gain almost instant equity by virtue of the supply vs demand dynamic.  They know that reducing the inventory increases the price. 

It's in large part why areas like Nevada have experienced phenomenal year over year appreciation as illustrated in map below compiled by FHFA's third quarter report in 2013.

The bi-product of their investing has had a pleasant side affect that existing homeowners have been able to take advantage of.  Rather than being subjected to a long protracted recovery, the investor involvement has accelerated the recovery exponentially.  As you look at the map above, you will see those areas that were hit the hardest during the housing bubble bursting, are recovering at a much higher rate than those areas that were least hit.  Investors aren't interested in single digit returns on their money...they are interested in the big returns! 

And with the values rapidly recovering, the number of mortgage delinquencies is on a sharp decline as well.  Homeowners over the last few years that were 'upside down' in their homes and couldn't afford to sell because they would have to bring a check to the closing table, are suddenly learning that the market has often recovered to a point where they can now sell and actually walk away with a check in many cases.  And voilà, delinquencies are dropping like a rock.  The following map is from the National Association of REALTORS from December 2013.

We at Alaska Home Sellers feel that there is an ENORMOUS amount of pent up energy with existing homeowners that would love to be able to move...maybe to a larger home due to an increase in family size, or that have job opportunities in another area but couldn't accept them due to their negative equity positions in their existing homes.  Not only do we feel that 2014 will be the year of growth, we are starting to see signs of it being larger than even the experts are predicting.  All of this teamed up with our post about the Boomerang Buyers a couple of weeks ago is further evidence that 2014 will prove to be the year of growth.  

 

Of course all real estate is local...and Alaska real estate is no different.  The Matsu real estate market is off and running for the year so if you have been sitting on the sidelines trying to decide what to do, this might be your year to make the move that you have been dreaming of.  

There is no substitute for competent counsel and advice when it comes to making decisions regarding large financial matters.  If you are curious how the local market is impacting you and would like to get our professional advice along with a customized analysis based on your individual real estate goals, you can call our office at (907)352-1828 to set up an appointment to discuss them.  

WHERE ARE INTEREST RATES HEADED IN 2014?

Where are interest rates headed in 2014?  That is one of the questions that we are often asked and it isn't an easy guess.  At Alaska Home Sellers we keep a watchful eye on not only what the local real estate market is doing, but combine it with forecasts from many local, state and national economic and financial reports to help our clients to better understand what it all means to our clients.  We do not have a crystal ball as to what the future holds, but we like to keep our customers aware of the factors in the marketplace that could have a bearing on their decision making process.  

The following information was pulled from a real estate blog that we watch:

"Most experts are calling for an increase in mortgage interest rates in 2014. However, we believe the increase will be more dramatic than is being projected. We believe rates will be closer to 6% than 5% by year’s end.

The Fed announced last month that they would be pulling back some of their stimulus package which has helped the housing market by keeping long term mortgage rates at historic lows for the last few years. This should come as no surprise as the real estate experts have been warning of this likelihood over the last several months.

Above are the most recent projections of where rates will be at the end of 2014 by the four major agencies. However, we believe that the government is not afraid to shoot right past these levels.

Doug Duncan, chief economist for Fannie Mae, this past summer announced: “I don’t think the Fed ultimately would be troubled with a 6.5% mortgage rate.”

And Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac VP and chief economist, at virtually the same time explained:  "As the economy continues to improve, we expect to see continued upward movement in long-term interest rates… At today’s house prices and income levels, mortgage rates would have to be nearly 7 percent before the U.S. median priced home would be unaffordable to a family making the median income in most parts of the country.”

Only time will tell. However, we feel that rates will be in the 5.75-6% range by year’s end."

Our personal opinion at Alaska Home Sellers is that there are monetary policies in place at the Federal Reserve that will keep mortgage interest rates at or near their current levels for much of the remainder of 2014, and would be very surprised to see them hit the 5.75-6% as stated in the blog.

As a Residential Finance Consultant (RFC) we have the tools to evaluate your personal situation to help answer the big questions:

• How's the market?
• Should I wait to sell my house?
• Is now the right time to buy?

To obtain a customized report created with your specific goals, give us a call at our office at (907)352-1828.  To find out an approximate idea as to what your home's value is in today's market, fill out this short form.

We have a tremendous amount of information on our website at www.AlaskaHomeSellers.com.  You can find information on communities, local schools, etc on there.  


We help clients understand the tax advantages, financing alternatives, and investment aspects of home ownership and why now is an incredible time to buy!

http://alaskahomesellers.blogspot.com/

WHICH REMODELING PROJECTS PROVIDE THE HIGHEST RETURN IN 2014?

Which remodeling projects provide the highest return in 2014?  Every year about this time there is a report that comes out from "REMODELING" magazine that illustrates some of the most common remodeling projects and their relative return on investment.  This year there are 22 different projects that were rated on 'mid-range' homes and 13 more on 'upscale' homes.  The National results can be found here.  This is a "good news/bad news" report.  The good news is that the results all show positive growth over their return on investment (ROI) when compared to their ROI from last year's report.  The bad news is that there are none that yet yield a positive ROI based on a National average.  

What does that mean?  It means that just because you decide you want to make some improvements to get your home ready for sale, it doesn't necessarily mean that you will get all of the money that you invested back.  For example, the national report shows that a basement remodel that costs $62,834 averaged a $48,777 return or only a 77.6% return on investment.

The news does get better however when you go to the Regional Data for the Pacific Region.  The results of the Pacific Region's ROI have 7 of the 22 projects on 'mid-range' homes showing at least a break even proposition.  The results of the Pacific Region's report can be found here.  A new steel front door will yield a 113% ROI and a new wood deck will yield a 109% ROI.  Only one project was able to yield a positive ROI on the 'upscale' homes and it was a garage door replacement with a 104% ROI.  

On a more local level, the closest community to us here in the Matsu Valley is the city of Anchorage.  Surprisingly, even with the housing market having a pretty good year in Anchorage, the reports show that last year's returns were better than this year's report.  The Anchorage report can be found here.

They also have some informative videos this year to help illustrate the purposes of the report. 

It's always this time of year that we talk to prospective home sellers and they often tell us about all the projects that they have done over the last year...and how much more they expect to get as a result of them.  Unfortunately, we have to then show them that the $10,000 project that they took on might only get $8,000 back.  

That all said, if you are thinking of taking on a remodeling project with the plan of selling in the near future, we need to schedule a time to meet and discuss them to really determine if they are projects that need to be done...or projects that should be left for the new buyer.  

To find out what your home is worth in today's market you can fill out this short form on our website.  For other questions on the state of the real estate market in the Matsu Valley, visit our website at www.AlaskaHomeSellers.com or call our office at (907)352-1828 to discuss your remodeling project plans to determine if they are right for you.  

Have a great weekend!  

Greg
 
© 2014 Hanley Wood, LLC. Complete data from the Remodeling 2014 Cost vs. Value Report can be downloaded free at www.costvsvalue.com.

ALASKA BOOMERANG BUYERS ARE TAKING AIM AT THE HOUSING MARKET

Alaska Boomerang Buyers will be taking aim at the housing market over the next 2-3 years and if you aren't familiar with the term, you will soon start to hearing more and more about it.  The impact of the Boomerang Buyer is we are seeing a strong Seller's market here in the Mat-Su Valley and the inventory supplies are low in the most popular price ranges.  

For current information on homes for sale in the Mat-Su please click Mat-Su Homes for Sale or if you would like to find out how the Boomerang Buyers entering back into the market can impact your home's value, Click Here and fill out a short form.

A "Boomerang Buyer" is someone that has lost a home through the foreclosure process or other credit damaging event, and is working on repairing their credit (and in many cases already has) and wants back in to the home ownership arena.  The following illustration is from AfterForeclosure.com and highlights where we are currently at in the recovery process for those buyers and is an absolute bright spot for the real estate market in the coming years.  

There is also a very informative article on their webpage that you can read here 2014 Needs the Boomerang Buyer.  

Why do we at Alaska Home Sellers feel that it is especially applicable here?  We have seen an influx of in-migration into the state over the last few years as the employment opportunities here are greater than where they are moving from.  Many of the residents that have moved here over the last 3-5 years did so to seek a better financial environment, but due to the financial hardship where they were at either have a foreclosure, a short sale, or a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure and have been forced to rent once they arrived here.  

For many of our new arrivals, they fit the above illustration to a "T" and we are already starting to see evidence of them coming back into the housing market.  Something that the illustration doesn't address is how they will view the current interest rates.  Don't think for one minute that it went under their radar when interest rates were around 3% a year ago!  But for many, they were helpless to do anything due to the prior blip on their credit.  If you also think back to where we were at in 2006 when the housing market started it's collapse, interest rates were around 6.5%.  At 6.5%, it was still well below the 40 year average, but yet it's nearly 50% higher than where they are at today.  The following graph represents a snap shot of mortgage interest rates dating back to 1971 from Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey and compiled by www.calculatedriskblog.com.

What does all of this all mean?  

We are convinced that not only did we see a substantial increase in the number of transactions last year in the Matsu Real Estate Market, but it was also combined with a healthy 2% increase in average pricing.  We feel that as the Boomerang Buyers continue to gain financial traction, that they will put even further downward pressure on the declining inventory levels locally, creating an even larger increase in pricing in 2014.  

We also know that there are buyers that opted out last year thinking that mortgage interest rates were going to stay around where they were, and hoped they might even go lower.  But that have now realized that the "Mortgage Interest Rate Horse" is out of the barn and may be nearly impossible to put back in.

You can obtain real estate market information on the various communities in the Matsu Valley in Alaska by visiting this link Wasilla, Alaska Housing Market Insider Data.  Based on the last quarter of 2013, it appears that the trend is clearly toward higher pricing in 2014 as you can see by the illustration below.  Once there you can enter other zip codes in Alaska that you would like to obtain similar data on as well.

We see some definite trends starting to emerge as we hit the 2014 season and welcome you to come back to gain valuable local information presented in a logical format that you can use to determine what the best options are for you.

For current information on homes for sale in the Matsu please click Matsu Homes for Sale or if you would like to find out how the Boomerang Buyers entering back into the market can impact your home's value, click here and fill out a short form.

You can visit our website at Alaska Home Sellers or call our office at (907)352-1828 to privately discuss your real estate goals.

   

TO SELL...OR NOT TO SELL...THAT IS THE QUESTION

To sell...or not to sell...that is the question.  There hasn't been a period in my 20+ year history as a real estate broker where potential selling clients ask that question more then they have in the last 2-3 years.  Not necessarily in the 'Shakespearean' sense, but some variation of it.

In today's world it's not uncommon to find 2 completely opposite, contradictory opinions on the state of the real estate market on the same day, and in the same newspaper or news program.  And when that happens, the resulting effect is mass confusion for anyone that is thinking of buying or selling.  The following illustration from CoreLogic is a good example of it.  Reading the left hand side might lead one to believe that the current real estate market is pretty dire.  But if you continue onto the right side, it starts to look better on the top half.  But it isn't until you get to the bottom right hand corner, that you see that there is only one state ahead of Alaska as it relates to the number of homes with the highest percentage of having some equity...meaning that the home is worth more today than what is owed against it.

Sherri and I view our roles a little different than many others in the industry in that rather than putting a 'hard sell' on a customer to buy something, right now, today, our approach is more like an adviser rather than a pushy real estate agent.  We believe that while it is important for a client to know and fully understand what is happening in the local real estate market, it's when we then combine that knowledge with an overview as to what is happening in the national and world wide financial worlds, teamed with the local and statewide economic forecasts, that all of these factors have a cumulative impact on the client's decision making process. 

In case you might have missed it, the stock markets have blossomed since the crash in 2008 and the DOW has hit new record levels multiple times over the last year.  Many of the reports of the real estate market over the last few years have often been portrayed it in a negative light.  But the following graph from MSN Money.com and Case Shiller, illustrates how it has fared relative to the stock markets over the last 13 years.

And the National Association of REALTORS® recently produced a graph illustrating what they are projecting for the coming year.  

 

Because there are literally countless real estate websites that have information on homes for sale, it becomes completely overwhelming for most consumers.  That's why we focus on providing advice and counsel for the really big questions that our clients have that aren't so easily found on-line.   

We've found what most clients really want is someone who can...

1.  Analyze all the available information

2.  Connect the dots and let them know if now is a good time to buy or the right time to sell based    on their goals

3.  Take the time to explain their options—simply and effectively
 
Our approach is actually quite simple.  Overall, information being readily available (without context or understanding) causes confusion...and that’s when people seek out professionals. Whether it be a doctor, lawyer, or a real estate professional, for a thorough analysis of the information based on their unique situation.  Because of the wealth of information available, we believe people are yearning for expert advice...tailored to their individual needs and goals, and not some canned "cookie-cutter" reply.
 
If you feel this type of information is valuable, make sure to subscribe to our blog and keep checking back as we will be posting much more over the coming weeks as we head into the busiest season of the year.  For more, you can visit our website at Alaska Home Sellers, "like" our Facebook page here, or simply call our office at (907)352-1828.


Let us know what your "big" questions are...we're here to help.